TSM has been on my radar since I started saving to invest in 2018 because of AMD / GlobalFoundries. Really interesting business model for Semis AMD has. In 2019, you couldn't get away from heating up of the trade war. Congress began debating SAR for HK around the end of Hong Kong's "2019 Summer of Love" and rumors of what happens in the "re-education" camps / "Where did the Falun Gong practitioners go?" This is important because of the SWIFT system of world banking. HK is how they get dollars. Then in November of 2019, this happened.. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hong_Kong_Human_Rights_and_Democracy_Act#Related_bill Arizona plant news is where the tin foil ends and the conviction began for me. The Foundry is basically THE corporation of Taiwan. The Great Cheetoh has been making deals around the world, and technically Taiwan isn't China. We have recent armament deals with Taiwan and Japan to prove it. https://youtu.be/TLKt9yPb-f0 Why not?? Seemed like the American thing to do and there is a republican in office hell-bent on decoupling US communications tech from the CCP aka ROC. In Feb / March... Rona. April the economic fallout, news about bad PPE and tests from China being sold to Italy. In May all the US boats in Taiwanese waters and the rhetoric worldwide basically reflecting that the world isn't happy with the CCP. I had the balance for a RH call and it made more sense than an airline play at the time, so i got in. Anti CCP rhetoric started heating up and bi-partisan on the YouTube's, by the way, it seems 2020 is the year NBC (Comcast) discovered ad-revenue. Thank you Lester. At this point morning wood for TSM was a regular thing, so i set my limits on call options for both accounts, and incorporated into the LT DRIP. Thank you Papa Powell. I'm still poor, couldn't have done it without you... Then it seemed to be heating up at the end of May. Everyone is like WTF 'mate on the "One Belt. One Road." Initiative, both the geographical and digital. People are really starting to report on not-so-great stories out of China, and not just tinfoil or Epoch Times channels. Lot of shade being thrown on China tech, and things are heating up in S China Sea. https://youtu.be/6KiLhxgIBys https://youtu.be/BTgDYhtr-LU ...looks like Chy-na is on everyone's shit list, including Australia. Forex folks know how dope-tied the Aussie's and Kiwis are to CCP trade relations. The rumor was potential decouple from China. I mean the world is kinda dope-tied to Santa's little elves. I just realized how weird Christmas will be... I bought my shares for both accounts as per the voodoo ritual of purchasing at least 1 stock of a long term call strategy. Got my hand deep (for me) in the cookie jar May and June. http://imgur.com/gallery/xb7ptte http://imgur.com/gallery/ToFdT3z Third week of July called a bull flag on hourly: https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/hwz949/daily_discussion_thread_for_july_24_2020/fz4bi1b?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share July 24th, I got filled to the teeth in RH and my now free play in Webull was up 1,600%. http://imgur.com/gallery/0fB3FEp THEN July 27th, I closed my "free play" in Webull at $1,250. A little over 3,000% between 2 contracts that cost $75 total. Along the way, i picked up RH tendies and rebalanced the cash / bought more contracts and shares. They're officially part of the DRIP. http://imgur.com/gallery/UFKPnOz Related post I made last week regarding TSM and INTC. Any thoughts on how US semi production will play out for them? https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/i0jqtu/opinions_on_taiwan_semiconducto?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share Last week, The Fool confirmed many of the LT bias I had been building up on a win for The Foundry since November. All hype, or real talk? https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/07/31/3-tailwinds-are-lifting-tsmcs-stock-to-new-all-tim.aspx Financial analysis- This guy is boring af, but he goes through the numbers that no one likes to read, records in mobile, and is cool enough to zoom in on what he is talking about. https://youtu.be/wVxF7wwuogo Can anyone see a downside other than "COVID CLAP Trumps all"? Maybe I've been chewing too much YouTube tinfoil on lunch, but the limit orders that are closing 930-4pm are making me think I've hit the Autistic Lottery. Wish I had bought more. Friday, all I could see was a bull flag on the 4hr and 30min charts. Monday 8/03 it hasn't shit the bed at 11am EST. Maybe thats just the tin foil talking again and this is the ceiling. http://imgur.com/gallery/nRYKBB5 Still in, and potentially interested in more contracts. Open positions- http://imgur.com/gallery/naF9dik
--UPDATE-- In light of Christine from Hatch's announcement of a reduction to a flat $3 broker fee, I've updated in a new comment here. Treat the direct comparison of $ below as incorrect (once Hatch update their pricing). --Old Text-- I decided to undertake a fees comparison of the two platforms as Stake is launching on Tuesday. Comparing Hatch and Stake, the long and short of it is:
If you are buying more than 1.00 shares and less than 400 share units, you will be on $8/transaction fee. So including the 0.5% FX fee, the break-even point where Hatch fees are cheaper is about $1600 in 1 transaction. Above this, Hatch is cheaper. Below this, Stake is cheaper.
If you only buy fractional shares (less than 1.00 share units per transaction, eg you can buy 0.99 shares for USD$3) then the break-even point is $600 per transaction. Above this, Hatch is cheaper, below Stake is cheaper. For this to apply you'd have to be buying into something like Amazon where the share price is $2k/share, so this comparison is kind of meaningless. Most companies are under $600 so you'd be buying more than 1.00 share units.
If you buy fractional shares into say 3 companies per FX transfer, total fees are $9/transfer, then the break-even point is about $1900 (below Stake is better, above Hatch is better)
If you are are a typical routine investor doing small DCA every fortnight or month or whatever, buying into multiple companies with each deposit, Stake will win every time because of zero broker fees.
Most people will do the latter and be DCA in to a lot of smaller companies so Stake will end up being a lot cheaper on the buy-in. https://imgur.com/a/wkuiIl1 Comparing to US based companies, assuming you use Transferwise to deposit into a US bank account and there is no fee to transfer from the US account to their service, Transferwise appear to get a 0.6% better FOREX rate than Hatch did when I just checked - Transferwise was $0.6067 vs Hatch $0.6029 (I'm assuming the Hatch FOREX rate will be similar to Stake, can't check atm as I don't have a Stake account until Tuesday). So the break-even point for using Transferwise at current FOREX rates is about $250 (below Stake is better, above Transferwise is better), excluding IBKTD Ameritrade fees (TDA have no broker fees currently). Hatch will allow USD transfer but only if you email them so I don't think you can use this as your regular deposit strategy. One thing to consider with IBKTD Amertrade is they are US companies who are not at all interested in your NZ tax requirements so will not help you at all in the process. Customer support will be harder to get, and using Transferwise is not a trivial process especially if you are doing very regular deposits it can become a PITA for a relatively tiny difference in fees (eg if you deposit $500/fortnight the difference in FX fees is about $3 per transaction, so just don't buy that bag of chips and save yourself the hassle of using Transferwise + foreign based company IMO - and this is coming from someone who even changes power and ISP companies every year chasing better deals!). Once you want to withdraw money, Hatch is obviously cheaper at 0.5% (edit: despite the $8 withdrawal fee) compared to 1% with Stake (and they have a $2 withdrawl fee that will be pretty negligible if you have a lot of money invested). Hatch will do an off-market transfer of US shares so best strategy might be using Stake for deposits and Hatch for withdrawals. Another benefit to Hatch is that they are Kiwi owned so I think more likely to be accessible in terms of Tax and customer support than an Aussie based company (Stake). Lastly with Hatch, if a company is less than $400/share then you should buy a series of Fractional share bids unless you are buying more than 2.66 share units, above that the $8 broker fee is better. Edit: I had a user complaining about the withdrawal fee of $8 through Hatch. This is true if you are regularly buying and selling shares. Typical advice given here is directed to buy and hold strategies (so you only get stung once for a withdrawal after X number of years), if you want day trading advice there are other subs for that. See my comment here.
Again within 24 hours of trying to work out a way to make this sustainable and workable for everyone I've noticed it's not worth the hassle to do so. It seems a lot of you expect everything for nothing. I'm afraid that is not going to work for me. Nothing I am doing is free for me, and if people do not want to pitch in the tiniest bit to help with that I can only conclude one of two things; 1 - The info is not worth $50 to you. In which case it is not worth my time writing it. 2 - People are ungrateful. In which case it is not worth my time writing it. If people were willing to meet me half way, I'd have went a lot further. People seem to want to stand where they are and shout over to me I'm a scammer for not bringing it all to their feet. That's a perspective. You can have it. I do not mind. But if this is your talk, I'll trade in silence. I'll also show you what happens with the "Scammy" info I was going to provide you for $50. In the week ahead I'll set up an account with a similar amount to the amount of money people seem to think it's egregious to ask for, and I'll run the same trades on this as will be in the trading plans shared in the proposed offer. I'll use recognised results tracking programs that will automatically verify and display the results. Build up phase: I'll start with currency trades. These are the lowest barrier to entry since I can trade micro lots and also have access to leverage. Currency trades should give me about 400 'pips' margin of error. Realistically, I should not need more than 40. I think SPX will be up 2 - 4% next week, this should give gains to on the Aussie against the Swiss (AUDCHF) - I'll go long AUDCHF. Margin up phase: After the currency trades I should have enough to trade SPX. I'll start to position short on SPX around 3080 and I'll take a first target of 2377. Given the right setups I'll add to my SPX short as prices are falling to bulk up the net take profit on the trade if it works. I'll trail my stops on the first trades to mke sure I'm not increasing my risk . Big up phase: By this time I should have enough margin to trade the Dow. Here I can make some real money. Around 21,000 I'll start to short the Dow and I'll be targeting 10,000. This trade should pay me somewhere in the region of $50,000 per traded lot. During the move I should be able to build up a position of at least 4 - 5 lots on the margin I have. Should be over $200,000 if it hits. Cash flow up phase: Once the drop has happened, I will begin to go long and do it in ways that will generate me daily income. I'll do this by transferring about $100K into options account and selling puts for 100 SPY. I'll also switch back to currency trades and I'll engage in what are known as "Carry trades", these will pay me every day I hold the trade based upon the "Swap". The best carry trades will depend upon what respective interest rates are at the time. Assuming things are similar (relatively) to how they currently are, I will be buying the Aussie, Kiwi and Turkish currencies and I'll be selling them against the dollar and Yen. This will be long AUDUSD, NZDUSD, AUDJPY, NZDJPY and short USDTRY. I'll allocate $50,000 to carry trades. I'll use the remaining money to hedge and offset risks/losses on my cash flow trades if that is needed, and if not I will use it to make similar trades but ones based upon a short time frame and geared towards risk:reward based profit rather than passive cash flow. I'll keep doing this until the Dow is back to around 17,000 - 18,000. Crash cash phase: For the next phase of the drop I will again switch to trading the Dow. This is where I can make most money. I might also allocate $100 - 200K to OTM puts, but since this can be a slower more steady crash it will make more sense to build a position in the CFD market on the Dow. Again my Dow trade should pay over $50,000 per lot. This time building up over 20 lots should be fairly easy. Cash flow decade phase: Once the market has crashed I will start to become a big options seller. i'll also engage in carry trades if interest rates are not all screwed up (Which is there are 'currency wars' they could be). Being able to be on the right side of a carry trade will determine if this is viable or not - and that has some variables that can not be known at this time. I'd love to be able to just short USDTRY, though. If it's viable. With options, I will be selling both put options and call options. I think once the crash has happened we will enter into a long term theta market last 10 - 15 years - this period is known as a 'Lost decade)'. I'll sell SPY puts for under the lows and I'll also sell SPY calls each time there is jumps in upside volatility. I'll be happy to sell SPY calls for 200 for literally years on end. By this time I should have more than $50. I'll update my swing plans either bi-weekly, weekly or monthly. Pending on how much free time I have. I'll edit this post to add in the results tracking material when I set it up. Update: Here's the tracking link. http://www.myfxbook.com/members/2020sBeasomething-for-nothing/6040046 I set the copy software to invert trades & the first trades went short AUDCHF rather than long. That puts me on quite a substantial losing start, but it should not matter. Might push the start of SPX trades back a week. Probably won't. Let me just show the value of what I've been trying to teach you.
Dollar drifts higher as coronavirus, China data sap confidence
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 69%. (I'm a bot)
SINGAPORE - The dollar steadied on Friday as a jump in U.S. bond yields and a drag on sentiment from lacklustre Chinese economic data put the brakes on a selldown of the world's reserve currency. The mood had the dollar within reach of snapping a seven-week losing streak against the risk-sensitive Aussie AUD=D3, which has settled around $0.7149 and is flat for the week. The yen JPY= is on course for its weakest week against the dollar in two months and is down about 0.9% at 106.84 from last Friday's close. The biggest loser has been the kiwi NZD=D3, which was pressured at $0.6538, as the country faces a fresh coronavirus outbreak and after the central bank this week flagged increased bond buying and again mentioned the prospect of negative rates. Against a basket of currencies =USD the dollar remains 0.2% lower for the week, but it has appeared to arrest a slide that has it about 9.5% below its March peak. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand sparked a bond rally this week by promising to extend its own purchases and, next week, speed them up as well.
Dollar set for biggest drop in three weeks as U.S. infection cases jump
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 48%. (I'm a bot)
LONDON - The greenback steadied on Friday but was set for its biggest weekly drop in three weeks as caution over growing coronavirus infections cast doubt over the U.S. economic outlook while a bounce in stocks pushed the kiwi dollar higher. The governor of Texas temporarily halted the state's reopening on Thursday as COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations surged. With markets undecided between hopes of a quick economic recovery and fears of a second wave of infections, investors focused on the dovish minutes by the European Central Bank this week to keep its stimulus policies in place for a while. The euro EUR=EBS edged 0.1% higher versus the dollar and was set for its biggest rise in three weeks. The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 led currency gainers as encouraging recent data prompted investors to add risk positions despite the surge in infection rates. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar fetched $0.6888 AUD=D4, stuck in its rough $0.68-0.70 range in the past couple of weeks.
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Dollar set for biggest weekly rise since early April as euro tumbles
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LONDON - The dollar gained on Friday and is set for its biggest weekly rise since early April as the euro weakened after a European Union meeting on Thursday to build a trillion euro emergency fund fell short of satisfying investors' concerns. The euro weakened broadly on Friday, falling 0.4% against the U.S. dollar to a one-month low at $1.07275 and a three-year low versus the yen at 115.55 yen. Though the outcome of the EU meeting fell short on details on the fund, specifically in terms of how it will be financed or whether it will be linked to the EU budget, some analysts took heart from the fact that the meeting didn't break up in acrimony. The euro's losses sent the greenback on track for its biggest weekly rise since early April. Against a basket of its rivals, the dollar was up 0.2% at 100.72. The Aussie and kiwi each shed about 0.2%, holding the kiwi below 60 cents at $0.5996 and the Aussie at $0.6359, beneath resistance around 64 cents per dollar.
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This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 69%. (I'm a bot)
Across mainland China there were 2,015 new confirmed infections as of Tuesday, the lowest daily rise since Jan. 30. The Australian dollar, sensitive to China's fortunes because of Australia's commodity-driven export profile, firmed 0.3% to $0.6728 AUD=D3. Oil prices, a barometer of global energy demand and so of growth, remain nearly a fifth lower than they were before the outbreak. The currencies of oil exporters such as Canada and Norway have been hammered, with the krone NOK= shedding 5% this year and the loonie CAD=D3 hitting a four-month low on Monday. "The main impact of coronavirus for Europe is growth," said Steve Englander, head of global G10 FX research at Standard Chartered. "The euro area started the year with low growth and an ECB largely out of policy options...(a) bad scenario could see an extension of recent moves and EUUSD may head towards the $1.04/05 lows of the European debt crisis."
GVT (like many alts) is at all time lows of $1.66. ICO $1 and ATH over $50. This project is in the sweet spot of fundamental buying opportunities because it has a working product, there is active development from the team AND marketing has not yet commenced. It is due to do so later this year. Genesis Vision is an asset management platform. Users can invest in a variety of different investment structures. This includes: 1) Funds - essentially custom index funds/ETFs - allowing you to invest in multiple crypto coins with the click of a button. Think Crypto20 but custom made. These can be created by the user or they can choose to invest in someone else’s fund. All rebalancing is done automatically. Top performing funds this year have returned around 180%. 2) Programs - investing in day traders. You profit from their trading activities and they take a cut, usually 5-20%. At no time do the traders have final control of your money - they cannot withdraw your money - the platform guarantees this. Program managers can trade not only crypto but stocks, Forex, commodities through Exante and Just2Trade. There are also a variety of bots available to be used or create your own. This is a great option for those who want a higher risk investment opportunity, as at times program managers have returned triple digit % profits. Users can also choose to become program managers themselves and earn profit from successfully investing other user’s funds. 3) Copy Trading - similar to programs however the user decides which trades to partake in. The user receives a notification from a trader about a trade and can decide whether to copy it with their own funds or not. This gives a bit more autonomy to the user. The Genesis Vision team have focused on creating a spectacular platform before ramping up marketing. This means that the user base has grown only very slowly since the platform was released late last year. With Bitcoin’s recent dominance pushing the token price lower many have thought GV is on the way out, but a closer look reveals that this is far from the case. The platform is thriving and provides a unique and fun investment opportunity. Definitely worth a look! Disclaimer: We are fund managers on the platform, KiwiSaver Capital. You are welcome to come and view our range of funds, which cater to a variety of risk appetites.
In the Herald a couple of months ago, there was a $2 off coupon. Potatoes at Countdown are $1.99 thus making them free. Not sure why these potatoes are $8/kg vs. normal potatoes of around $2.50 but meh it's free.
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 67%. (I'm a bot)
SINGAPORE - The safe-haven yen fell versus its peers on Wednesday as concerns over slowing global growth and U.S.-Sino trade tensions dampened investors' appetite for riskier assets. "Nervousness around global growth and trade tensions is certainly a factor driving the markets right now," said Michael McCarthy, chief markets strategist at CMC Markets. On Monday, the International Monetary Fund cut its 2019 and 2020 global growth forecasts, citing a bigger-than-expected slowdown in China and the eurozone, and said failure to resolve trade tensions could further destabilize a slowing global economy. Investors are hoping for a breakthrough in U.S.-Sino trade talks, with the tariff dispute between the world's largest economies already rippling through financial markets and global demand. The dollar rally last year was mainly driven by the Fed's four rate hikes, so traders expect a pause in the tightening cycle to cap the U.S. currency. The New Zealand dollar NZD= gained 0.25 percent in early Asian trade to $0.6766 after data showed that inflation edged higher in the fourth quarter and reducing the possibility of an interest rate cut.
FOREX-Dollar extends losses; Kiwi dollar hits 18-month high. Read full article . September 18, 2020, 12:49 AM · 2 mins read * Dollar down 0.1% after weak data * Dollar-yen below key 105 level ... Forex: Euro und Kiwi Dollar könnten zu Ende der Tradingwoche höher korrigieren 2014-05-09 03:22:00 Ilya Spivak , Head Strategist, APAC Kiwi in Forex Trading The kiwi is a common name for the New Zealand dollar, the official currency of New Zealand. Currency Name:New Zealand dollar Currency symbol or sign: $ Countries: New Zealand Commonly called: Kiwi ISO 4217 Currency Code: NZD Relevant Central Bank: Reserve Bank of New Zealand Click for: New Zealand dollar (NZD) spot rates New Zealand dollar (NZD) futures quote prices ... Forex Crunch has not verified the accuracy or basis-in-fact of any claim or statement made by any independent author: Omissions and errors may occur. Any news, analysis, opinion, price quote or any other information contained on Forex Crunch and permitted re-published content should be taken as general market commentary. This is by no means investment advice. Forex Crunch will not accept ... I understand that residents of the US are not eligible to apply for an account with this FOREX.com offering, but I would like to continue. Continue or. Go to Content for My Region. I’d like to view FOREX.com’s products and services that are most suitable to meet my trading needs. Take me to correct content. Biden claims victory in US Election. VIEW OUR COVERAGE. Close. Kiwi Trade Balance ... Kiwi Traders Look to Inflation Data for Negative Rates Clues. From bnnbloomberg.ca. A string of positive New Zealand data has got investors reassessing the odds of negative interest rates. Inflation figures due this week may help to clarify the picture. The report may be key for the New Zealand dollar, which has been consolidating against the greenback since mid-September. Depending on the ... Forex Today: Markets torn between covid resurgence and vaccine hopes, kiwi jumps, Lagarde eyed NEWS Nov 11, 07:35 GMT By Yohay Elam. Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, November 11 ... Forex slovník pojmů na portálu FXstreet.cz patří k těm nejrozsáhlejším slovníkům v oblasti tradingu v českém a slovenském jazyce. Obsahuje 3000 pojmů. FOREX: Kiwi and Aussie *RBNZ is going to make a monetary policy decision tomorrow *Aussie retail sales data comes strong and RBA reacts . In this video, we look at the important level of support and resistance for NZD/USD and AUD/USD pairs. The Kiwi pair, NZDUSD has entered in an active area of support but the long term trend is downward. Back. Technical analysis Author: ThinkMarkets. 07/05 ... 123 Reversal Setup on Kiwi NZDUSD 160916; How to trade this plan. 1. Price reached the monthly target and then fell to MPP as expected 2. A double bottom was formed on WS1/ MPP and price has made a higher high 3. I am looking at the daily stochastic and might wait for the next oversold H4 stochastic – however H1 is approaching oversold. I will look at how price responds to support at H4 A ...
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